Forecasting

Practical Time Series Forecasting – Introduction

“The only thing I cannot predict is the future.” ― Amit Trivedi, Riding The Roller Coaster: Lessons from financial market cycles we repeatedly forget It goes without saying that every business is keenly interested in knowing what the future will bring. Will sales grow next year? By how much? Will suppliers increase their prices? How…

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Practical Time Series Forecasting – To Difference or Not to Difference

“It is sometimes very difficult to decide whether trend is best modeled as deterministic or stochastic, and the decision is an important part of the science – and art – of building forecasting models.” ― Diebold,  Elements of Forecasting, 1998   A times series can have a very strong trend. Visually, we often can see it.…

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